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Detroit homicide rate declines dramatically during last six months of 2009.

Detroit -- Murders in Michigan's largest city increased slightly last year, according to preliminary figures released Wednesday by Detroit Police, although the numbers show that homicides dropped dramatically in the second half of 2009.

There were 379 homicides in Detroit last year, up from 375 in 2008. But from July to December last year, there were 179 -- a 20 percent decline from the same period in 2008.

Police officials attribute the drop to a change in the way homicides are investigated, more police on the street and the use of computer-driven data to target crime hot spots.

"I'm cautiously optimistic about these numbers," said Ronald Griffin, chairman of the Detroit Board of Police Commissioners. "I want this to be a good news story, but I'm not ready to say we've fixed the problems in the department just yet, although there is certainly reason for hope."

Detroit Police Chief Warren Evans admitted he has a long way to go toward fixing the problems that have long plagued the department, but he said law enforcement is headed in the right direction.

"We've done a lot more in a short time than I thought we'd be able to do," said Evans, who took over as police chief on July 7. "Obviously one homicide is one too many, and we know we're not going to stop them all.

But I think we've jumped over the hurdle that we (the Detroit Police) aren't smart enough, or that we aren't competent." Drop is unprecedented The drop in homicides during the second half of 2009 is even more dramatic considering where the statistics were trending during the first half of the year. From 2005 to 2008, Detroit homicides from July to December increased by an average of 20 percent.
If that trend had continued, taking the numbers from the first six months of 2009, Detroit was on pace for more than 500 homicides.

Experts say such a significant drop in murders is nearly unprecedented.

"Let's give Detroit's new police management some credit on this," said Jon Shane, a professor of criminology at John Jay College of Criminal Justice in New York City and a former homicide investigator with the Newark (N.J.) Police Department. "It appears the accountability structure and the analysis were lacking in the previous administration.

Having said that, we've never seen such a drastic drop in homicide in that short of time -- in six months. It begs for empirical study. It doesn't happen like this."

Among the policies Evans has implemented:

● More reliance on statistics: Police officials now use statistics to locate crime hot spots. This allows commanders to send officers to high crime areas. This method was initiated 15 years ago in New York City and is in use in places such as Mexico City. Detroit discarded the method a few years ago, Deputy Chief James Tolbert said.
Evans said he plans to hire a "computer guru" who will delve further into the data-driven method of policing.

● Creation of a mobile tactical strike force: Made up of 150 officers from the Gang Squad, Tactical Mobile Unit and the fugitive apprehension and traffic squads, the strike force is deployed to different areas of the city on a daily basis.

● Involving local officers: The department also embeds precinct officers with homicide detectives during the initial phase of a murder investigation. "Those officers who are out there in the neighborhood have information our homicide detectives don't often have," Evans said.

● More officers on the street: In October, Evans reassigned 100 officers from desk jobs to patrols. Also, a federal grant will pay for an additional 50 officers, who should be out of the police academy and on the streets within a few months.

● Multiagency "crusades": Task forces involving the Detroit Police, Wayne County Sheriff's Office, Michigan State Police and various federal agencies conduct sweeps of targeted areas that have shown spikes in crime. The sweeps focus on arresting parole and probation violators and escapees. In December, a sweep in southwest Detroit resulted in 63 arrests and the seizure of 13 guns.

Closure rate improves
Beyond the homicide numbers, the department's closure rate improved to 60 percent for the second half of 2009, police said. Previously the closure rate was 28 percent. The national average is 62 percent, according to the FBI.

A homicide is considered closed when a suspect is arrested and a murder warrant is issued.
Lt. Dwane Blackmon, commanding officer of the homicide section, credits the doubling of the closure rate to having the department's SWAT team canvass the neighborhoods where homicides take place, looking for the killers. That frees up homicide detectives, Blackmon said.

"Investigators have more time to investigate and are not burdened having to spend time looking for people," Blackmon said.

"The clearance rate is substantial," said Charles Wellford, a professor of criminology at the University of Maryland who has studied Detroit's police response to homicides. "The kind of intensive effort, specialized units for the apprehension of fugitives and the use of manpower at the crime scene to collect evidence in those critical first few hours reflects what other agencies have done to improve clearances. It shows me Detroit is making this a priority."

 

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