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Michigan
Polls
Favor
Democrats,
but
Senate
Contest
Remains
Close
Walter
Hargrove
-
Political
Analyst
Tell Us
Detroit
News
Bureau
DETROIT
-
Michigan’s
latest
midterm
polls
show
Democrats
ahead in
the
major
statewide
races,
but the
U.S.
Senate
contest
looks
considerably
tighter
than the
governor’s
race.
The
polling
reflects
the
picture
as of
Oct. 27,
ahead of
the Nov.
3
election.
Democrat
Jocelyn
Benson
leads
Republican
John
James in
recent
polling
for
governor.
Marist’s
Oct.
15-18
survey
put
Benson
at 51%
and
James at
45%
among
likely
voters,
a
6-percentage-point
advantage.
Other
recent
surveys
also
show
Benson
ahead.
Decision
Desk
HQ’s
polling
tracker
lists a
Benson
lead of
8.4
points
in an
Oct.
21-22
InsiderAdvantage
poll and
6 points
in an
Oct.
2-19
YouGov/Michigan
State
University
survey.
Those
are
individual
polls,
not a
polling
average.
In the
U.S.
Senate
race,
Democrat
Abdul
El-Sayed
leads
Republican
Mike
Rogers
in the
polls
reviewed,
although
several
show a
very
close
contest.
A
Detroit
News/WDIV
poll
published
Oct. 27
showed
El-Sayed
at 51.4%
and
Rogers
at
45.1%, a
6.3-point
advantage
among
600
likely
voters.
Marist’s
Oct.
15-18
survey
showed
El-Sayed
leading
Rogers
50% to
48%
among
likely
voters.
That
2-point
gap was
within
the
poll’s
reported
margin
of
error,
meaning
the
survey
did not
establish
a clear
leader.
A
Quantus
Insights
survey
conducted
Oct. 5-6
showed
El-Sayed
at 47.6%
and
Rogers
at
46.5%, a
1.1-point
difference.
In the
Detroit
News/WDIV
poll,
El-Sayed’s
lead
narrowed
to 4.2
points
among
respondents
who said
they
definitely
planned
to vote,
with
El-Sayed
at 50.7%
and
Rogers
at
46.5%.
For U.S.
House
races,
Marist
found
that
Michigan
likely
voters
favored
Democratic
congressional
candidates
over
Republicans,
52% to
46%, on
its
generic
congressional
ballot
question.
That
measures
statewide
party
preference,
not who
will win
each
district.
In the
7th
Congressional
District,
an
Emerson
survey
conducted
Oct.
12-14
showed
Democrat
William
Lawrence
leading
Republican
incumbent
Tom
Barrett,
53% to
45%.
In the
10th
Congressional
District,
an
older,
Democratic-sponsored
Global
Strategy
Group
poll
conducted
Aug.
10-13
showed
Republican
Mike
Bouchard
and
Democrat
Christina
Hines
tied at
45%.
That is
not a
fresh
late-October
reading.
Overall,
the
polls
show a
clearer
Democratic
advantage
for
governor
and a
narrower,
less
settled
advantage
in the
Senate
race.
Statewide
House
polling
also
points
toward
Democratic
strength,
but it
does not
establish
how many
seats
either
party
will
win.
This
Tell Us
USA News
Network
report
is
produced
in part
by Ai
and can
make
mistakes.
Please
contact
and let
us know
of any
errors
you may
find.
info@tellususa.com
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